Forecasting of Higher Education Demand for Undergraduate and Graduate Levels in Iran’s 2025 Prospect

Authors
Saleh Ghavidel 1
Gholamali Farjadi 2
Hossein Razeghi 3
Hossein Badiei 4
1 Department of Economic, Islamic Azad University, Firoozkooh Branch
2 Higher Education and Research Institute in Management and Planning
3 Master of Department of Tourism Organization of Iran Investment
4 MA. In Department of Acounting, Islamic Azad University, Garmsar Branch
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to predict the demands for higher education in Iran until 2025.. For this reason two methods of Cohort Population and Participation Rate in higher education were used. The demand for Iran’s higher education was predicted by gender, undergraduate and graduate classifications. The results demonstrated that the undergraduate applicants for higher education are declining in next 14 years in a such way that in 2025 the number of applicants for undergraduate level will be declining to about six hundred thousand individuals, that is half of the current applicants. Decreasing graduate applicants demand begins after next two or three years and it will roughly remain the same as current level in 2025.

Keywords

  • Receive Date 06 March 2023
  • Revise Date 21 April 2024
  • Publish Date 06 March 2023